Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-1804:10Citi Field

Cardinals

Away

5-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	8	0
Mets	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.9

Cardinals scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 17%

Opponent allowing 23%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 62%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Mets defense

25%R 15% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Cardinals defense

50%R 55% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-5pp

7–9 Late

54%

+1pp

F5 first five

53%

-4pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

70 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 316Runs Allowed 334

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

69 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 306Runs Allowed 324

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#139% 27/70	29% 20/70	27% 19/70	26% 18/70	14% 10/70	27% 19/70	21% 15/70	#231% 22/70	#329% 17/58	33% 2/6
Cardinals	RA	#136% 25/70	26% 18/70	#236% 25/70	24% 17/70	29% 20/70	31% 22/70	#333% 23/70	21% 15/70	25% 13/52	83% 5/6
Mets	R	17% 12/69	26% 18/69	#333% 23/69	32% 22/69	32% 22/69	#135% 24/68	#235% 24/68	15% 10/68	30% 16/54	80% 4/5
Mets	RA	#141% 28/69	#330% 21/69	23% 16/69	26% 18/69	30% 21/69	29% 20/68	22% 15/68	#231% 21/68	17% 8/47	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.