Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-1608:10

Nationals

Away

4-1

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	4	11	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Astros offense × Nationals defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-3pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

63%

+10pp

F5 first five

56%

-1pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 277Runs Allowed 328

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

68 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 309Runs Allowed 248

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#330% 20/66	#135% 23/66	20% 13/66	#232% 21/66	20% 13/66	21% 14/66	26% 17/66	26% 17/66	22% 12/55	-
Nationals	RA	29% 19/66	32% 21/66	32% 21/66	#139% 26/66	24% 16/66	33% 22/66	#238% 25/66	26% 17/66	#337% 19/51	-
Astros	R	#138% 26/68	18% 12/68	21% 14/68	#232% 22/68	26% 18/68	13% 9/68	28% 19/68	#332% 22/68	32% 16/50	56% 5/9
Astros	RA	16% 11/68	24% 16/68	24% 16/68	#325% 17/68	#228% 19/68	25% 17/68	21% 14/68	#132% 22/68	25% 14/56	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.