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Final
2023-06-1508:10
4-5
Astros
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
60%
+8pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
013274054393414328223333313942038536416304373129820389ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 273Runs Allowed 323

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games
01531476350181202322730339234332852025642257404382819951010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 304Runs Allowed 244
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#331% 20/65#135% 23/6520% 13/65#232% 21/6518% 12/6522% 14/6526% 17/6526% 17/6520% 11/54-
RA28% 18/6532% 21/6532% 21/65#138% 25/6525% 16/6534% 22/65#238% 25/6526% 17/65#336% 18/50-
AstrosR#137% 25/6718% 12/6721% 14/67#331% 21/6727% 18/6713% 9/6728% 19/67#233% 22/6731% 15/4956% 5/9
RA16% 11/6724% 16/6724% 16/67#325% 17/67#227% 18/6725% 17/6721% 14/67#133% 22/6724% 13/5567% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.