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Final
2023-06-1508:05Wrigley Field
6-10
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates3011001006120
Cubs10000603X10131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 65% · Season 57% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
45%
-8pp
F5 first five
58%
+1pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
0183654733158139232343834520430225332463549717318182294510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 286Runs Allowed 292

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games
0142944592937139332344732922434265282862935740348202593310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 285Runs Allowed 290
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#329% 19/65#135% 23/65#231% 20/6529% 19/6522% 14/6528% 18/6523% 15/6518% 12/6525% 12/4867% 2/3
RA#145% 29/6523% 15/65#329% 19/6520% 13/6523% 15/6525% 16/65#232% 21/6526% 17/6519% 10/5267% 2/3
CubsR#129% 19/66#327% 18/6624% 16/66#229% 19/6627% 18/6626% 17/6624% 16/6623% 15/6620% 10/5150% 3/6
RA#330% 20/6627% 18/66#142% 28/6624% 16/6620% 13/6623% 15/66#235% 23/6624% 16/6627% 13/4950% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.