Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-1507:10Citi Field

Yankees

Away

3-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Yankees	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	3	6	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	1X	4	8	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Yankees scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.3

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.6

Yankees scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Mets defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Yankees defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 73% · Season 53% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+6pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

58%

+2pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

68 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 311Runs Allowed 267

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

67 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 296Runs Allowed 320

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	28% 19/68	15% 10/68	26% 18/68	28% 19/68	#234% 23/68	28% 19/68	#331% 21/68	22% 15/68	#144% 23/52	56% 5/9
Yankees	RA	#229% 20/68	22% 15/68	24% 16/68	19% 13/68	25% 17/68	#329% 20/68	#131% 21/68	19% 13/68	12% 7/59	44% 4/9
Mets	R	16% 11/67	27% 18/67	#333% 22/67	33% 22/67	31% 21/67	#135% 23/66	#235% 23/66	15% 10/66	30% 16/53	75% 3/4
Mets	RA	#142% 28/67	#331% 21/67	24% 16/67	27% 18/67	30% 20/67	29% 19/66	21% 14/66	#232% 21/66	18% 8/45	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.