Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-1507:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Blue Jays

Away

3-1

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Blue Jays	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	3	9	1
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Blue Jays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.5

Blue Jays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Blue Jays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-5pp

7–9 Late

56%

+3pp

F5 first five

61%

+4pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

68 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 314Runs Allowed 294

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 334Runs Allowed 291

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	26% 18/68	28% 19/68	26% 18/68	#232% 22/68	#134% 23/68	21% 14/68	29% 20/68	#332% 22/68	30% 16/53	50% 5/10
Blue Jays	RA	#229% 20/68	26% 18/68	#328% 19/68	28% 19/68	21% 14/68	22% 15/68	16% 11/68	#134% 23/68	23% 12/53	70% 7/10
Orioles	R	23% 15/66	#329% 19/66	#136% 24/66	#235% 23/66	29% 19/66	26% 17/66	27% 18/66	26% 17/66	25% 12/48	60% 6/10
Orioles	RA	#136% 24/66	24% 16/66	#233% 22/66	26% 17/66	#330% 20/66	27% 18/66	30% 20/66	27% 18/66	20% 12/59	60% 6/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.