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Final
2023-06-1409:40Petco Park
3-6
Padres
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Guardians010011000390
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Guardians scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.3
Guardians scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Heating upCombined vs league -2pp
#3
Inn.1
Guardians scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Padres defense
25%R 35% · RA 15%
Padres offense × Guardians defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 62% · Season 56% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-2pp
7–9 Late
44%
-9pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
50%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
012243649313211926218263293442935527316392372831814169161410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 250Runs Allowed 268

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

65 games
0132639523726128322283833031441215322462727729378211191810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 274Runs Allowed 255
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
GuardiansR#232% 21/6522% 14/6515% 10/65#326% 17/6525% 16/6520% 13/65#134% 22/6520% 13/6519% 10/5267% 10/15
RA#329% 19/6518% 12/6518% 12/6526% 17/65#231% 20/65#134% 22/6520% 13/6525% 16/6524% 13/5467% 10/15
PadresR#231% 20/6528% 18/6528% 18/65#331% 20/65#134% 22/6526% 17/6522% 14/6526% 17/6522% 11/5117% 1/6
RA#326% 17/6525% 16/65#129% 19/65#228% 18/6523% 15/6520% 13/6522% 14/6523% 15/6513% 7/54100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.