Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-1408:10

Nationals

Away

1-6

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.7

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Astros offense × Nationals defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 68% · Season 57% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

57%

+5pp

F5 first five

58%

+1pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 272Runs Allowed 317

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 298Runs Allowed 243

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#331% 20/64	#136% 23/64	20% 13/64	#233% 21/64	19% 12/64	22% 14/64	27% 17/64	25% 16/64	21% 11/53	-
Nationals	RA	28% 18/64	33% 21/64	33% 21/64	#139% 25/64	23% 15/64	34% 22/64	#238% 24/64	25% 16/64	#336% 18/50	-
Astros	R	#138% 25/66	18% 12/66	21% 14/66	#232% 21/66	26% 17/66	14% 9/66	27% 18/66	#332% 21/66	31% 15/49	56% 5/9
Astros	RA	17% 11/66	24% 16/66	24% 16/66	#326% 17/66	#227% 18/66	26% 17/66	21% 14/66	#132% 21/66	24% 13/54	67% 6/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.