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Final
2023-06-0804:10Petco Park
3-10
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 55%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
38%R 20% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +2pp
Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-1pp
7–9 Late
41%
-12pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
50%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games
01225375027371323222740335174313352624624317321981314915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 262Runs Allowed 256

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
011233547332512431224373273143720529216242772930820991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 248Runs Allowed 239
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#130% 18/6025% 15/6022% 13/60#227% 16/60#327% 16/6022% 13/6023% 14/6025% 15/6020% 9/4558% 7/12
RA#135% 21/6025% 15/60#228% 17/6020% 12/6025% 15/6027% 16/60#328% 17/6020% 12/6021% 10/4858% 7/12
PadresR#230% 18/6126% 16/6126% 16/61#330% 18/61#133% 20/6125% 15/6120% 12/6128% 17/6121% 10/4817% 1/6
RA#326% 16/6125% 15/61#130% 18/61#230% 18/6123% 14/6120% 12/6123% 14/6120% 12/6112% 6/50100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.