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Final
2023-06-0709:40Petco Park
4-1
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Mariners001001020480
Padres001000000140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
40%R 20% · RA 60%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 65% · Season 61% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-1pp
7–9 Late
40%
-12pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
49%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games
01224364927371323222639335174313352524624317301981314915910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 258Runs Allowed 255

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games
011233547332512431223363273143720529206242772928820991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 247Runs Allowed 235
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#131% 18/5925% 15/5920% 12/59#227% 16/59#327% 16/5920% 12/5924% 14/5924% 14/5920% 9/4458% 7/12
RA#136% 21/5925% 15/59#327% 16/5920% 12/5925% 15/5927% 16/59#229% 17/5920% 12/5921% 10/4758% 7/12
PadresR#230% 18/6027% 16/6025% 15/60#330% 18/60#133% 20/6025% 15/6020% 12/6028% 17/6021% 10/4717% 1/6
RA#327% 16/6025% 15/60#228% 17/60#130% 18/6023% 14/6018% 11/6023% 14/6018% 11/6012% 6/49100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.