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Final
2023-06-0609:10Petco Park
Cubs
Away
0-5
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 50%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
38%R 25% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 60% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
45%
-11pp
7–9 Late
39%
-13pp
F5 first five
53%
-3pp
F9 full game
48%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games
0132740542634133272324332819430175262062230737338202593310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 257Runs Allowed 251

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games
011233547332512131222363273143720529206242772828820991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 242Runs Allowed 235
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#131% 18/5826% 15/5824% 14/58#231% 18/58#328% 16/5826% 15/5824% 14/5824% 14/5823% 10/4450% 3/6
RA#331% 18/5826% 15/58#143% 25/5822% 13/5817% 10/5819% 11/58#234% 20/5826% 15/5828% 13/4650% 3/6
PadresR#231% 18/5925% 15/5924% 14/59#331% 18/59#134% 20/5925% 15/5920% 12/5927% 16/5921% 10/4717% 1/6
RA#327% 16/5925% 15/59#229% 17/59#131% 18/5924% 14/5919% 11/5924% 14/5919% 11/5912% 6/48100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.