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Final
2023-06-0505:30Petco Park
Cubs
Away
7-1
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cubs1420000007111
Padres001000000151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 15%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
22%R 30% · RA 15%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 62% · Season 52% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
46%
-10pp
7–9 Late
43%
-10pp
F5 first five
51%
-6pp
F9 full game
48%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games
0132639532534129272304232819430175262062230737338202593310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 250Runs Allowed 250

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games
011233547332412127221343273143720529206242772828820991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 241Runs Allowed 228
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#230% 17/5725% 14/5723% 13/57#132% 18/57#328% 16/5726% 15/5725% 14/5725% 14/5723% 10/4350% 3/6
RA#332% 18/5726% 15/57#142% 24/5723% 13/5718% 10/5719% 11/57#235% 20/5726% 15/5729% 13/4550% 3/6
PadresR#231% 18/5826% 15/5822% 13/58#331% 18/58#134% 20/5826% 15/5821% 12/5828% 16/5822% 10/4617% 1/6
RA#326% 15/5824% 14/58#228% 16/58#131% 18/5824% 14/5819% 11/5824% 14/5819% 11/5813% 6/47100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.