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Final
2023-06-0501:40Citi Field
6-4
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays022000200670
Mets001012000471

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 21%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mets defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Mets offense × Blue Jays defense
25%R 15% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 62% · Season 58% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-9pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
52%
-5pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games
01327415529441282822930328274392052017628137304183514981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 274Runs Allowed 245

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games
0153045601346121362262033623440485322563820716328251097410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.52.22.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 254Runs Allowed 264
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR27% 16/5927% 16/5925% 15/59#132% 19/59#231% 18/5920% 12/5929% 17/59#331% 18/5929% 14/4856% 5/9
RA#229% 17/5927% 16/59#329% 17/5927% 16/5915% 9/5922% 13/5917% 10/59#136% 21/5924% 11/4567% 6/9
MetsR15% 9/5924% 14/5927% 16/59#334% 20/5929% 17/59#136% 21/58#236% 21/5816% 9/5831% 14/45100% 3/3
RA#144% 26/59#231% 18/5922% 13/5922% 13/59#331% 18/5924% 14/5822% 13/5829% 17/5817% 7/4167% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.