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Final
2023-06-0410:10Petco Park
Cubs
Away
0-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp
#3
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
28%R 35% · RA 20%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 53% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
44%
-9pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
50%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games
0132639522534129252304132819430175262062230737308202593310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 250Runs Allowed 244

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games
011233547332411927220343273143720529206242772528820991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 235Runs Allowed 228
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#230% 17/5625% 14/5623% 13/56#132% 18/56#329% 16/5627% 15/5625% 14/5625% 14/5624% 10/4250% 3/6
RA#332% 18/5625% 14/56#141% 23/5623% 13/5618% 10/5620% 11/56#236% 20/5625% 14/5629% 13/4550% 3/6
PadresR#232% 18/5725% 14/5721% 12/57#332% 18/57#135% 20/5726% 15/5721% 12/5726% 15/5722% 10/4617% 1/6
RA#326% 15/5725% 14/57#228% 16/57#132% 18/5725% 14/5719% 11/5725% 14/5719% 11/5713% 6/46100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.