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Final
2023-06-0404:10Citi Field
2-1
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mets defense
40%R 35% · RA 45%
Mets offense × Blue Jays defense
25%R 15% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 65% · Season 59% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-0pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-7pp
7–9 Late
57%
+4pp
F5 first five
54%
-3pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games
01327415529441282722930328274392051917628137304183414981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 272Runs Allowed 244

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

58 games
015304560134612036226203362344048532246382071632825997410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.52.22.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 253Runs Allowed 262
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 16/5828% 16/5826% 15/58#133% 19/58#231% 18/5819% 11/5829% 17/58#331% 18/5828% 13/4756% 5/9
RA#229% 17/5826% 15/58#329% 17/5828% 16/5816% 9/5822% 13/5817% 10/58#136% 21/5825% 11/4467% 6/9
MetsR16% 9/5822% 13/5828% 16/58#334% 20/5829% 17/58#137% 21/57#237% 21/5716% 9/5732% 14/44100% 3/3
RA#145% 26/58#231% 18/5822% 13/5822% 13/58#331% 18/5823% 13/5723% 13/5730% 17/5715% 6/4067% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.