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Final
2023-06-0309:40Petco Park
Cubs
Away
2-1
Padres
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Padres000001000140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Padres defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Padres offense × Cubs defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-7pp
7–9 Late
47%
-6pp
F5 first five
55%
-2pp
F9 full game
52%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games
0132639522534129252294132819429175261962230737308202593310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 248Runs Allowed 243

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games
011233547332411927220333273143719528206242772528820991810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 234Runs Allowed 226
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#231% 17/5525% 14/5522% 12/55#133% 18/55#327% 15/5527% 15/5525% 14/5525% 14/5524% 10/4150% 3/6
RA#333% 18/5525% 14/55#142% 23/5524% 13/5518% 10/5518% 10/55#236% 20/5525% 14/5530% 13/4450% 3/6
PadresR#232% 18/5625% 14/5621% 12/56#332% 18/56#136% 20/5625% 14/5621% 12/5627% 15/5622% 10/4517% 1/6
RA#227% 15/5625% 14/56#327% 15/56#132% 18/5623% 13/5620% 11/5625% 14/5620% 11/5613% 6/45100% 6/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.