Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-0307:10Citi Field

Blue Jays

Away

3-0

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Blue Jays	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8	0
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Blue Jays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.1

Blue Jays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.4

Blue Jays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 15%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Mets defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Blue Jays defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-6pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

55%

-3pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 269Runs Allowed 244

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

57 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 253Runs Allowed 259

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Blue Jays	R	26% 15/57	28% 16/57	26% 15/57	#133% 19/57	#232% 18/57	19% 11/57	30% 17/57	#332% 18/57	26% 12/46	56% 5/9
Blue Jays	RA	#230% 17/57	26% 15/57	#330% 17/57	28% 16/57	16% 9/57	23% 13/57	18% 10/57	#137% 21/57	26% 11/43	67% 6/9
Mets	R	16% 9/57	23% 13/57	28% 16/57	#335% 20/57	30% 17/57	#138% 21/56	#238% 21/56	16% 9/56	33% 14/43	100% 3/3
Mets	RA	#144% 25/57	#232% 18/57	23% 13/57	23% 13/57	#332% 18/57	23% 13/56	23% 13/56	30% 17/56	13% 5/39	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.