Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-0201:10Citi Field

Phillies

Away

2-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	0
Mets	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	X	4	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cooling downCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Phillies defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-2pp

7–9 Late

56%

+4pp

F5 first five

51%

-6pp

F9 full game

52%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 228Runs Allowed 271

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 249Runs Allowed 257

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	25% 14/55	22% 12/55	27% 15/55	#136% 20/55	#235% 19/55	20% 11/55	#333% 18/55	24% 13/55	23% 10/44	67% 2/3
Phillies	RA	#135% 19/55	22% 12/55	#333% 18/55	31% 17/55	#235% 19/55	20% 11/55	24% 13/55	29% 16/55	28% 10/36	33% 1/3
Mets	R	16% 9/56	23% 13/56	27% 15/56	#334% 19/56	30% 17/56	#236% 20/55	#138% 21/55	16% 9/55	33% 14/43	100% 3/3
Mets	RA	#143% 24/56	#232% 18/56	23% 13/56	23% 13/56	#332% 18/56	24% 13/55	24% 13/55	31% 17/55	13% 5/38	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.