Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-0107:10Citi Field

Phillies

Away

1-4

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	0
Mets	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	X	4	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Phillies defense

35%R 50% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 70% · Season 60% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-11pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

58%

+6pp

F5 first five

52%

-6pp

F9 full game

54%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 227Runs Allowed 267

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 245Runs Allowed 256

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	26% 14/54	22% 12/54	26% 14/54	#137% 20/54	#235% 19/54	20% 11/54	#333% 18/54	24% 13/54	23% 10/43	67% 2/3
Phillies	RA	#135% 19/54	22% 12/54	#331% 17/54	30% 16/54	#235% 19/54	20% 11/54	24% 13/54	30% 16/54	28% 10/36	33% 1/3
Mets	R	16% 9/55	24% 13/55	25% 14/55	#333% 18/55	31% 17/55	#237% 20/54	#139% 21/54	17% 9/54	33% 14/43	100% 3/3
Mets	RA	#144% 24/55	#233% 18/55	22% 12/55	24% 13/55	#333% 18/55	24% 13/54	24% 13/54	31% 17/54	14% 5/37	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.