Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-06-0106:40loanDepot park

Padres

Away

1-2

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2X	2	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Marlins defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Marlins offense × Padres defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 78% · Season 66% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-12pp

4–6 Middle

68%

+12pp

7–9 Late

48%

-5pp

F5 first five

52%

-5pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 223Runs Allowed 223

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 207Runs Allowed 253

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#233% 18/54	26% 14/54	20% 11/54	#331% 17/54	#135% 19/54	24% 13/54	22% 12/54	28% 15/54	23% 10/43	17% 1/6
Padres	RA	#228% 15/54	#326% 14/54	26% 14/54	#133% 18/54	24% 13/54	20% 11/54	26% 14/54	20% 11/54	12% 5/43	100% 6/6
Marlins	R	18% 10/55	20% 11/55	#133% 18/55	#331% 17/55	24% 13/55	#233% 18/55	27% 15/55	25% 14/55	23% 10/43	67% 6/9
Marlins	RA	20% 11/55	22% 12/55	22% 12/55	#236% 20/55	31% 17/55	#138% 21/55	31% 17/55	#333% 18/55	24% 10/41	44% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.