Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-3107:10Citi Field

Phillies

Away

0-2

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	X	2	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.5

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Phillies defense

32%R 50% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 73% · Season 59% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

60%

+7pp

F5 first five

55%

-2pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 227Runs Allowed 265

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 243Runs Allowed 256

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	26% 14/53	23% 12/53	26% 14/53	#138% 20/53	#236% 19/53	21% 11/53	#334% 18/53	25% 13/53	24% 10/42	67% 2/3
Phillies	RA	#136% 19/53	23% 12/53	#332% 17/53	28% 15/53	#236% 19/53	21% 11/53	23% 12/53	30% 16/53	28% 10/36	33% 1/3
Mets	R	17% 9/54	24% 13/54	26% 14/54	31% 17/54	31% 17/54	#138% 20/53	#238% 20/53	17% 9/53	#333% 14/43	100% 3/3
Mets	RA	#144% 24/54	#233% 18/54	22% 12/54	24% 13/54	#333% 18/54	25% 13/53	25% 13/53	32% 17/53	14% 5/36	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.