Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-3106:40loanDepot park

Padres

Away

9-4

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	5	9	11	1
Marlins	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	4	10	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Marlins defense

40%R 30% · RA 50%

Marlins offense × Padres defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 73% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

42%

-14pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+7pp

7–9 Late

47%

-6pp

F5 first five

49%

-8pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 214Runs Allowed 219

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 203Runs Allowed 244

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#134% 18/53	26% 14/53	21% 11/53	#330% 16/53	#234% 18/53	25% 13/53	21% 11/53	28% 15/53	21% 9/42	17% 1/6
Padres	RA	#228% 15/53	#326% 14/53	25% 13/53	#132% 17/53	25% 13/53	19% 10/53	26% 14/53	21% 11/53	12% 5/42	100% 6/6
Marlins	R	19% 10/54	20% 11/54	#131% 17/54	#330% 16/54	24% 13/54	#231% 17/54	28% 15/54	26% 14/54	24% 10/42	67% 6/9
Marlins	RA	20% 11/54	22% 12/54	22% 12/54	#235% 19/54	30% 16/54	#139% 21/54	30% 16/54	#333% 18/54	22% 9/40	44% 4/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.