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Final
2023-05-2902:10Target Field
3-0
Twins
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Blue Jays020000010370
Twins000000000051

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Twins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Twins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Twins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
45%R 35% · RA 55%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 80% · Season 60% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-7pp
7–9 Late
61%
+8pp
F5 first five
53%
-4pp
F9 full game
55%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games
01326395321421242522830328274382051917627117294183213981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 254Runs Allowed 237

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
013263953312612212242273272841312530962735728158722913910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 240Runs Allowed 195
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 13/5326% 14/5326% 14/53#136% 19/53#232% 17/5321% 11/5330% 16/53#332% 17/5327% 12/4456% 5/9
RA#330% 16/5326% 14/53#232% 17/5330% 16/5317% 9/5325% 13/5317% 9/53#140% 21/5326% 10/3967% 6/9
TwinsR29% 15/5225% 13/5229% 15/52#335% 18/5219% 10/52#137% 19/52#237% 19/5225% 13/5213% 5/3958% 7/12
RA29% 15/5212% 6/5225% 13/52#233% 17/5217% 9/5213% 7/52#137% 19/5221% 11/52#332% 13/4158% 7/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.