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Final
2023-05-2902:10Kauffman Stadium
2-3
Royals
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Royals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Royals defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Royals offense × Nationals defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 78% · Season 65% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+9pp
7–9 Late
49%
-4pp
F5 first five
59%
+1pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
011223345312413620219283243641526530326282872618815329ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 224Runs Allowed 244

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games
0173451692929117272124733738415215325563419717348161091710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.12.23.34.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 210Runs Allowed 287
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#231% 16/52#138% 20/5219% 10/52#331% 16/5217% 9/5223% 12/5231% 16/5227% 14/5219% 8/42-
RA25% 13/5231% 16/52#335% 18/52#144% 23/5223% 12/5235% 18/5231% 16/5219% 10/52#236% 15/42-
RoyalsR#238% 20/5317% 9/5319% 10/53#143% 23/5323% 12/53#332% 17/5330% 16/5319% 10/5321% 10/4750% 1/2
RA36% 19/5330% 16/53#338% 20/53#142% 22/5325% 13/53#240% 21/5323% 12/5332% 17/5316% 6/38100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.