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Final
2023-05-2708:10Kauffman Stadium
12-10
Royals
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Nationals10000803012151
Royals00020152010130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Royals defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Royals offense × Nationals defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 80% · Season 81% · -1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+9pp
7–9 Late
53%
+0pp
F5 first five
63%
+6pp
F9 full game
60%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
011223345302313620219273243441526518316282372316815329ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 208Runs Allowed 232

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
0142944592828117272114733538415215314362919715318161091710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.12.23.34.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 198Runs Allowed 271
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR30% 15/50#140% 20/5020% 10/50#232% 16/5018% 9/5020% 10/50#332% 16/5026% 13/5020% 8/40-
RA24% 12/5032% 16/50#334% 17/50#144% 22/5024% 12/5034% 17/5030% 15/5018% 9/50#238% 15/40-
RoyalsR#237% 19/5118% 9/5118% 9/51#143% 22/5124% 12/51#331% 16/5129% 15/5118% 9/5122% 10/4550% 1/2
RA35% 18/5131% 16/51#239% 20/51#143% 22/5125% 13/51#337% 19/5124% 12/5131% 16/5117% 6/36100% 2/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.