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Final
2023-05-2601:10Tropicana Field
3-6
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays100000002381
Rays21200010X651

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 73% · Season 68% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+2pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
57%
-0pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
0122537501937124232232832727438175191662797294082713981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 241Runs Allowed 221

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
0142842573913133152331933226445315351963118733168193394310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 304Runs Allowed 193
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 11/5028% 14/5024% 12/50#136% 18/50#234% 17/5022% 11/5032% 16/50#334% 17/5024% 10/4156% 5/9
RA28% 14/5024% 12/50#232% 16/50#332% 16/5016% 8/5024% 12/5014% 7/50#140% 20/5026% 10/3867% 6/9
RaysR#241% 21/5131% 16/5127% 14/51#339% 20/5133% 17/5131% 16/5133% 17/51#143% 22/5139% 12/31100% 3/3
RA22% 11/5122% 11/5120% 10/51#135% 18/51#325% 13/5120% 10/5124% 12/5120% 10/51#228% 12/4333% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.