Sportify
Final
2023-05-2507:40Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
2-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Mets002000000240
Cubs00300100X480

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 70%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
32%R 15% · RA 50%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
48%R 25% · RA 70%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 80% · Season 61% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
55%
-2pp
F9 full game
55%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
013274054104212030218133241943743526236331871329821797410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.52.22.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 209Runs Allowed 228

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games
011223344203112322226333271642995241662023735258202393310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 227Runs Allowed 201
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR14% 7/4927% 13/4924% 12/4931% 15/4931% 15/49#140% 19/48#235% 17/4817% 8/48#332% 12/38100% 3/3
RA#147% 23/49#333% 16/4918% 9/4924% 12/49#235% 17/4925% 12/4825% 12/4831% 15/4815% 5/3467% 2/3
CubsR28% 13/4726% 12/4723% 11/47#136% 17/47#232% 15/4728% 13/4726% 12/4728% 13/47#328% 10/3650% 3/6
RA#234% 16/4726% 12/47#138% 18/4726% 12/4711% 5/4717% 8/47#334% 16/4726% 12/4733% 12/3650% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.