Sportify
Final
2023-05-2507:05Nationals Park
Padres
Away
3-5
Team123456789RHE
Padres000210000343
Nationals04010000X590

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp
#2
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Nationals defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Nationals offense × Padres defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +0pp
Last 20 62% · Season 69% · -6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
52%
-6pp
F9 full game
51%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
010203040322111523219243212842919519186182172526810791710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 189Runs Allowed 194

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
010203040292313218219273233241522518316232372316815299ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 197Runs Allowed 221
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#135% 17/4825% 12/4823% 11/4829% 14/48#231% 15/4825% 12/4819% 9/48#331% 15/4816% 6/3720% 1/5
RA25% 12/48#227% 13/4825% 12/48#133% 16/48#327% 13/4819% 9/4825% 12/4821% 10/4813% 5/39100% 5/5
NationalsR29% 14/48#140% 19/4821% 10/48#231% 15/4819% 9/4821% 10/48#331% 15/4827% 13/4821% 8/39-
RA25% 12/4831% 15/48#335% 17/48#144% 21/4821% 10/4835% 17/4831% 15/4819% 9/48#237% 14/38-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.