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Final
2023-05-2506:40Tropicana Field
3-7
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+4pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
57%
-0pp
F9 full game
57%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
0122436481936124212232832625438175191662797273882713981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 238Runs Allowed 214

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
0142842573813131152331933025445315351963118731148193394310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 297Runs Allowed 190
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR22% 11/4929% 14/4924% 12/49#135% 17/49#235% 17/4922% 11/49#333% 16/4933% 16/4925% 10/4056% 5/9
RA27% 13/4922% 11/49#233% 16/49#331% 15/4916% 8/4924% 12/4914% 7/49#139% 19/4926% 10/3867% 6/9
RaysR#240% 20/5030% 15/5028% 14/5038% 19/5034% 17/5032% 16/5034% 17/50#142% 21/50#339% 12/31100% 3/3
RA22% 11/5022% 11/5020% 10/50#134% 17/50#326% 13/5020% 10/5024% 12/5018% 9/50#229% 12/4233% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.