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Final
2023-05-2407:40Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
2-7
Cubs
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Mets000101000262
Cubs04020010X780

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 70%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.7
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
32%R 15% · RA 50%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
48%R 25% · RA 70%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 80% · Season 63% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
55%
-2pp
F9 full game
55%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
013274054104212026218133231743743525236331771329821797410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.71.52.22.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 207Runs Allowed 221

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games
011223344203111922226333251542995241561923735258202393310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 220Runs Allowed 199
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR15% 7/4827% 13/4825% 12/4829% 14/4831% 15/48#138% 18/47#236% 17/4717% 8/47#332% 12/37100% 3/3
RA#148% 23/4831% 15/4819% 9/4823% 11/48#235% 17/4826% 12/4723% 11/47#332% 15/4715% 5/3467% 2/3
CubsR#328% 13/4624% 11/4624% 11/46#135% 16/46#233% 15/4628% 13/4624% 11/4628% 13/4628% 10/3650% 3/6
RA#235% 16/4626% 12/46#139% 18/4624% 11/4611% 5/4615% 7/46#335% 16/4626% 12/4634% 12/3550% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.