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Final
2023-05-2406:40Tropicana Field
20-1
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays10126001920270
Rays000010000161

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 53% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+3pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
55%
-3pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
0122436481836124212222832425432165191662797263881813981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 218Runs Allowed 213

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
0132741553812131152331833023444255351963118731138192494310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 296Runs Allowed 170
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR21% 10/4829% 14/4823% 11/48#133% 16/48#233% 16/4823% 11/48#333% 16/4831% 15/4823% 9/3956% 5/9
RA27% 13/4823% 11/48#233% 16/48#331% 15/4815% 7/4825% 12/4815% 7/48#140% 19/4827% 10/3767% 6/9
RaysR#241% 20/4931% 15/4929% 14/4939% 19/4933% 16/4933% 16/4935% 17/49#143% 21/49#340% 12/30100% 3/3
RA20% 10/4922% 11/4918% 9/49#133% 16/49#324% 12/4920% 10/4924% 12/4916% 8/49#227% 11/4133% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.