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Final
2023-05-2306:40Tropicana Field
4-6
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
25%R 25% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 72% · Season 66% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+3pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
55%
-3pp
F9 full game
57%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games
0122436481836124182222732225432165191562787263881613981110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 214Runs Allowed 207

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games
0132741553812128152321833021444255341963018731138192294310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 290Runs Allowed 166
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR21% 10/4730% 14/4723% 11/47#332% 15/47#134% 16/4723% 11/47#234% 16/4732% 15/4721% 8/3856% 5/9
RA28% 13/4721% 10/47#232% 15/47#332% 15/4715% 7/4723% 11/4713% 6/47#140% 19/4727% 10/3767% 6/9
RaysR#242% 20/4829% 14/4827% 13/4840% 19/4833% 16/4831% 15/4833% 16/48#144% 21/48#340% 12/30100% 3/3
RA21% 10/4823% 11/4819% 9/48#131% 15/48#225% 12/4821% 10/48#325% 12/4817% 8/4825% 10/4033% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.