Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-2306:40Great American Ball Park

Cardinals

Away

5-6

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	3	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	7	0
Reds	2	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	1X	6	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.1

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 15%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.4

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Reds defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Reds offense × Cardinals defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

70%

+13pp

7–9 Late

42%

-10pp

F5 first five

62%

+5pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 245Runs Allowed 227

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 195Runs Allowed 238

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#148% 23/48	25% 12/48	#331% 15/48	31% 15/48	10% 5/48	31% 15/48	23% 11/48	29% 14/48	#234% 13/38	33% 1/3
Cardinals	RA	#233% 16/48	#331% 15/48	29% 14/48	31% 15/48	25% 12/48	31% 15/48	#135% 17/48	23% 11/48	14% 5/37	100% 3/3
Reds	R	#235% 16/46	20% 9/46	#335% 16/46	28% 13/46	#137% 17/46	15% 7/46	20% 9/46	30% 14/46	31% 11/36	67% 2/3
Reds	RA	#137% 17/46	28% 13/46	30% 14/46	#237% 17/46	30% 14/46	#337% 17/46	30% 14/46	20% 9/46	32% 11/34	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.