Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-2201:40Citi Field

Guardians

Away

4-5

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Guardians	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	8	0
Mets	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	X	5	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Guardians scoring tendency

57%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 70%

Mets scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.6

Guardians scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 26%

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.7

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 32%

Mets scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 37%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Guardians offense × Mets defense

57%R 45% · RA 70%

Mets offense × Guardians defense

18%R 20% · RA 15%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 75% · Season 64% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+1pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

52%

-5pp

F9 full game

53%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 159Runs Allowed 191

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 200Runs Allowed 216

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Guardians	R	#134% 15/44	20% 9/44	11% 5/44	#330% 13/44	20% 9/44	18% 8/44	#232% 14/44	23% 10/44	17% 6/36	78% 7/9
Guardians	RA	#232% 14/44	18% 8/44	23% 10/44	25% 11/44	#327% 12/44	#139% 17/44	20% 9/44	23% 10/44	24% 9/37	67% 6/9
Mets	R	15% 7/46	28% 13/46	26% 12/46	28% 13/46	#333% 15/46	#136% 16/45	#236% 16/45	13% 6/45	32% 12/37	100% 3/3
Mets	RA	#148% 22/46	#333% 15/46	20% 9/46	24% 11/46	#237% 17/46	27% 12/45	24% 11/45	31% 14/45	16% 5/32	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.