Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-2201:35Nationals Park

Tigers

Away

4-6

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Tigers	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	4	6	2
Nationals	3	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	X	6	18	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Tigers scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.2

Tigers scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Tigers scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Tigers offense × Nationals defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Nationals offense × Tigers defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp

Last 20 65% · Season 53% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

61%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-5pp

7–9 Late

48%

-4pp

F5 first five

56%

-1pp

F9 full game

54%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 153Runs Allowed 202

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 187Runs Allowed 210

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Tigers	R	#130% 13/43	21% 9/43	#230% 13/43	16% 7/43	#326% 11/43	23% 10/43	19% 8/43	23% 10/43	14% 5/36	44% 4/9
Tigers	RA	23% 10/43	#330% 13/43	#235% 15/43	#140% 17/43	21% 9/43	21% 9/43	21% 9/43	30% 13/43	27% 9/33	44% 4/9
Nationals	R	28% 13/46	#139% 18/46	20% 9/46	#233% 15/46	17% 8/46	22% 10/46	#333% 15/46	26% 12/46	21% 8/38	-
Nationals	RA	24% 11/46	33% 15/46	#335% 16/46	#143% 20/46	22% 10/46	33% 15/46	28% 13/46	20% 9/46	#239% 14/36	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.