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Final
2023-05-2110:10Petco Park
4-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cooling downCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Padres defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Red Sox defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 78% · Season 68% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+9pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
59%
+2pp
F9 full game
54%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0132639523136130182381732540431415332161721731168132095310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.81.62.33.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 254Runs Allowed 233

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
09182737262111420217243202742916516186152172525810791710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 173Runs Allowed 186
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#240% 18/4529% 13/45#336% 16/4529% 13/4536% 16/45#144% 20/4524% 11/4531% 14/4526% 9/34100% 2/2
RA#336% 16/4531% 14/4522% 10/45#144% 20/45#240% 18/4524% 11/4529% 13/4520% 9/4525% 9/36100% 2/2
PadresR#133% 15/4524% 11/4522% 10/4529% 13/45#233% 15/4520% 9/4518% 8/45#333% 15/4517% 6/3520% 1/5
RA#227% 12/45#327% 12/4527% 12/45#133% 15/4527% 12/4520% 9/4527% 12/4520% 9/4514% 5/36100% 5/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.