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Final
2023-05-2009:40Petco Park
6-1
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.5
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Padres defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Red Sox defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 78% · Season 69% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
67%
+10pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
58%
+0pp
F9 full game
55%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
0132639523136129182331632540431415332161721731168132095310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.81.62.33.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 248Runs Allowed 232

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
09182737262111419216193202742916516186152172525810791710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 172Runs Allowed 180
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#241% 18/4427% 12/4434% 15/4430% 13/44#336% 16/44#145% 20/4425% 11/4432% 14/4427% 9/33100% 2/2
RA#336% 16/4432% 14/4420% 9/44#145% 20/44#241% 18/4425% 11/4430% 13/4420% 9/4426% 9/35100% 2/2
PadresR#134% 15/4425% 11/4420% 9/4430% 13/44#234% 15/4420% 9/4418% 8/44#334% 15/4418% 6/3420% 1/5
RA#227% 12/4425% 11/4425% 11/44#134% 15/44#327% 12/4420% 9/4427% 12/4420% 9/4414% 5/35100% 5/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.