Sportify
Final
2023-05-1804:10Petco Park
Royals
Away
4-3
Padres
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Padres000012000380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Royals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.1
Royals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.7
Royals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Padres defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Royals defense
40%R 30% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 85% · Season 76% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+4pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
62%
+5pp
F9 full game
56%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
0142842572423115252114533036412165283562818714298151091410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.01.22.53.85.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 178Runs Allowed 241

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
08172635262111419216193202642816514156152172525810791710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 169Runs Allowed 176
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RoyalsR#239% 17/4418% 8/4420% 9/44#143% 19/4423% 10/44#334% 15/4432% 14/4418% 8/4423% 9/39100% 1/1
RA#336% 16/4434% 15/44#243% 19/44#145% 20/4423% 10/4436% 16/4425% 11/4434% 15/4419% 6/32100% 1/1
PadresR#135% 15/4326% 11/4321% 9/4330% 13/43#333% 14/4319% 8/4319% 8/43#235% 15/4318% 6/3320% 1/5
RA#228% 12/4326% 11/4326% 11/43#133% 14/43#328% 12/4319% 8/4328% 12/4321% 9/4315% 5/34100% 5/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.