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Final
2023-05-1608:10
Cubs
Away
4-6
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Cubs000400000480
Astros40000020X6110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 50%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp
#2
Inn.8
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 10%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Astros defense
22%R 20% · RA 25%
Astros offense × Cubs defense
32%R 15% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league -4pp
Last 20 55% · Season 57% · -2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
49%
-8pp
F9 full game
49%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games
010213243171811422224313201142575221561916734228151993310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 193Runs Allowed 164

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games
09192838231119162201631812420165101962710722308201392410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 171Runs Allowed 147
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#330% 12/4022% 9/4025% 10/40#135% 14/40#235% 14/4030% 12/4028% 11/4030% 12/4023% 7/3050% 3/6
RA28% 11/40#330% 12/40#142% 17/4025% 10/4010% 4/4018% 7/4030% 12/4025% 10/40#233% 11/3350% 3/6
AstrosR#232% 13/4012% 5/4028% 11/40#330% 12/4025% 10/4012% 5/4030% 12/4028% 11/40#138% 12/3267% 2/3
RA18% 7/4025% 10/4020% 8/4022% 9/40#328% 11/40#230% 12/4012% 5/40#138% 15/4024% 8/3467% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.