Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-1504:35Nationals Park

Mets

Away

8-2

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	8	10	0
Nationals	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 65%

Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Nationals scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense

20%R 15% · RA 25%

Nationals offense × Mets defense

50%R 35% · RA 65%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 70% · Season 58% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-6pp

7–9 Late

50%

-3pp

F5 first five

58%

+1pp

F9 full game

55%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 163Runs Allowed 178

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 175

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	15% 6/40	#330% 12/40	30% 12/40	30% 12/40	30% 12/40	#133% 13/39	#233% 13/39	15% 6/39	28% 9/32	100% 1/1
Mets	RA	#148% 19/40	#332% 13/40	18% 7/40	20% 8/40	#235% 14/40	23% 9/39	21% 8/39	26% 10/39	15% 4/27	0% 0/1
Nationals	R	#231% 12/39	#141% 16/39	21% 8/39	#331% 12/39	15% 6/39	15% 6/39	31% 12/39	18% 7/39	24% 8/33	-
Nationals	RA	23% 9/39	28% 11/39	#336% 14/39	#146% 18/39	21% 8/39	31% 12/39	31% 12/39	21% 8/39	#239% 12/31	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.