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Final
2023-05-1502:10Target Field
Cubs
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Cubs000100200360
Twins10700017X16180

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Twins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Twins defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Twins offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 72% · Season 59% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
56%
+4pp
F5 first five
53%
-5pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games
010213243171711422224243191142575221561715734158151993310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 190Runs Allowed 148

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games
01020304020181181123218323214811523662021715138419912710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 175Runs Allowed 145
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#331% 12/3923% 9/3926% 10/39#233% 13/39#136% 14/3931% 12/3926% 10/3931% 12/3924% 7/2950% 3/6
RA26% 10/39#331% 12/39#141% 16/3926% 10/3910% 4/3918% 7/3928% 11/3923% 9/39#233% 11/3350% 3/6
TwinsR22% 9/4025% 10/4030% 12/40#135% 14/4018% 7/40#235% 14/40#332% 13/4020% 8/4010% 3/3067% 6/9
RA#330% 12/4012% 5/4020% 8/4028% 11/4020% 8/4012% 5/40#232% 13/4022% 9/40#138% 12/3256% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.