Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-1501:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Pirates

Away

4-0

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	7	0
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Inn.4

Pirates scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 15%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Orioles defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Orioles offense × Pirates defense

25%R 30% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league -1pp

Last 20 57% · Season 63% · -6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-5pp

7–9 Late

48%

-4pp

F5 first five

52%

-6pp

F9 full game

51%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 172Runs Allowed 167

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 200Runs Allowed 166

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#332% 13/40	#138% 15/40	#235% 14/40	28% 11/40	12% 5/40	28% 11/40	22% 9/40	18% 7/40	29% 9/31	100% 2/2
Pirates	RA	#142% 17/40	20% 8/40	25% 10/40	25% 10/40	#228% 11/40	22% 9/40	#328% 11/40	25% 10/40	16% 5/31	50% 1/2
Orioles	R	21% 8/39	23% 9/39	#236% 14/39	#141% 16/39	26% 10/39	#331% 12/39	28% 11/39	26% 10/39	24% 7/29	60% 3/5
Orioles	RA	#136% 14/39	#328% 11/39	#231% 12/39	21% 8/39	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	24% 8/34	60% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.