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2023-05-1402:10Target Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Twins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.7
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Twins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.1
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Twins defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Twins offense × Cubs defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
53%
+0pp
F5 first five
52%
-6pp
F9 full game
52%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games
010213243171611422224203191142555221561614734128151993310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 189Runs Allowed 137

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games
0817263519181181122818323214611523661920712138419912710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 164Runs Allowed 144
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR#332% 12/3824% 9/3826% 10/38#234% 13/38#137% 14/3832% 12/3824% 9/3832% 12/3825% 7/2850% 3/6
RA24% 9/38#332% 12/38#139% 15/3826% 10/388% 3/3818% 7/3826% 10/3821% 8/38#233% 11/3350% 3/6
TwinsR21% 8/3926% 10/3928% 11/39#136% 14/3915% 6/39#236% 14/39#331% 12/3918% 7/3910% 3/3067% 6/9
RA#231% 12/3913% 5/3921% 8/3928% 11/3921% 8/3913% 5/39#331% 12/3923% 9/39#139% 12/3156% 5/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.