Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-1307:05Yankee Stadium

Rays

Away

5-6

Yankees

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	13	0
Yankees	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	X	6	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Rays scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 29%

Yankees scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 44%

Opponent allowing 22%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Yankees scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.5

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Yankees defense

36%R 43% · RA 29%

Yankees offense × Rays defense

33%R 44% · RA 22%

Sample 14Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 69% · Season 65% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-12pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-6pp

7–9 Late

55%

+4pp

F5 first five

46%

-12pp

F9 full game

51%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 239Runs Allowed 118

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 170Runs Allowed 155

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#241% 16/39	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	38% 15/39	33% 13/39	33% 13/39	33% 13/39	#341% 16/39	#148% 11/23	100% 2/2
Rays	RA	21% 8/39	#226% 10/39	18% 7/39	#131% 12/39	21% 8/39	21% 8/39	21% 8/39	13% 5/39	#324% 8/34	0% 0/2
Yankees	R	#328% 11/39	13% 5/39	28% 11/39	23% 9/39	#233% 13/39	23% 9/39	26% 10/39	23% 9/39	#143% 12/28	67% 2/3
Yankees	RA	#328% 11/39	18% 7/39	23% 9/39	18% 7/39	21% 8/39	#136% 14/39	#231% 12/39	23% 9/39	16% 5/31	33% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.