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Final
2023-05-1107:40Target Field
Padres
Away
3-4
Twins
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Twins10100000011X491

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Twins defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Twins offense × Padres defense
45%R 40% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-13pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-2pp
7–9 Late
48%
-4pp
F5 first five
52%
-7pp
F9 full game
49%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
0816243223171111321613319254251651213611167242581079 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 151Runs Allowed 150

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
0817253418171151122718322194610523661617712128416910610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 153Runs Allowed 132
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#233% 12/3625% 9/3625% 9/36#333% 12/3633% 12/3619% 7/3614% 5/36#139% 14/3622% 6/270% 0/3
RA#328% 10/3625% 9/3619% 7/36#136% 13/36#233% 12/3619% 7/3628% 10/3625% 9/3616% 5/31100% 3/3
TwinsR19% 7/3622% 8/3628% 10/36#236% 13/3617% 6/36#139% 14/36#331% 11/3619% 7/3611% 3/2857% 4/7
RA#231% 11/3614% 5/3622% 8/3625% 9/3619% 7/3614% 5/36#328% 10/3622% 8/36#139% 11/2857% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.