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Final
2023-05-1107:40Wrigley Field
4-10
Cubs
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Cardinals1010010014100
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
65%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-5pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
60%
+2pp
F9 full game
55%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games
0919293927221112722722323214714521196133171910815992510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 165Runs Allowed 180

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
010213243171511420221193161142455191461314734128121893310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 173Runs Allowed 131
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#146% 17/3719% 7/37#235% 13/3730% 11/3711% 4/3727% 10/3724% 9/3727% 10/37#331% 10/3233% 1/3
RA32% 12/37#141% 15/3730% 11/37#335% 13/3719% 7/3730% 11/37#241% 15/3719% 7/3715% 4/27100% 3/3
CubsR#233% 12/3625% 9/3625% 9/3631% 11/36#136% 13/3631% 11/3619% 7/36#333% 12/3622% 6/2750% 3/6
RA22% 8/36#331% 11/36#139% 14/3628% 10/368% 3/3617% 6/3628% 10/3622% 8/36#232% 10/3150% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.