Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-1106:40Great American Ball Park

Mets

Away

2-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	10	0
Reds	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Reds defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Mets defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 68% · Season 60% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

50%

-2pp

F5 first five

62%

+4pp

F9 full game

57%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 156Runs Allowed 167

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 151Runs Allowed 186

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	17% 6/36	31% 11/36	31% 11/36	31% 11/36	#333% 12/36	#134% 12/35	#234% 12/35	17% 6/35	32% 9/28	100% 1/1
Mets	RA	#142% 15/36	#236% 13/36	19% 7/36	17% 6/36	#336% 13/36	26% 9/35	20% 7/35	29% 10/35	16% 4/25	0% 0/1
Reds	R	#331% 11/35	23% 8/35	#140% 14/35	29% 10/35	#234% 12/35	14% 5/35	20% 7/35	31% 11/35	31% 8/26	100% 2/2
Reds	RA	#146% 16/35	31% 11/35	#237% 13/35	#337% 13/35	29% 10/35	29% 10/35	29% 10/35	23% 8/35	35% 9/26	50% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.