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Final
2023-05-1007:40Target Field
Padres
Away
6-1
Twins
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Twins defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Twins offense × Padres defense
42%R 35% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 72% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
53%
-6pp
F9 full game
49%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
08162432231711113216133182442516512136916724258779 510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 145Runs Allowed 149

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
0817253418171151122718321184610523661615712128413910610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 152Runs Allowed 126
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR#234% 12/3526% 9/3526% 9/3531% 11/35#334% 12/3520% 7/3511% 4/35#140% 14/3519% 5/260% 0/3
RA#329% 10/3526% 9/3520% 7/35#134% 12/35#234% 12/3520% 7/3529% 10/3526% 9/3517% 5/30100% 3/3
TwinsR20% 7/3523% 8/3529% 10/35#234% 12/3517% 6/35#140% 14/35#331% 11/3520% 7/3511% 3/2757% 4/7
RA#231% 11/3514% 5/3523% 8/3523% 8/3520% 7/3514% 5/35#326% 9/3523% 8/35#137% 10/2757% 4/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.