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Final
2023-05-1007:40Wrigley Field
6-4
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals103000002690
Cubs102001000490

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cooling downCombined vs league -5pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 25% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-6pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
57%
-2pp
F9 full game
53%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
0919293926211112722420323214714521186133171910813992510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 159Runs Allowed 176

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
010213243161411420219163161142455181461314734128121693310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 169Runs Allowed 125
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#144% 16/3619% 7/36#233% 12/36#331% 11/3611% 4/3628% 10/3625% 9/3628% 10/3629% 9/3133% 1/3
RA31% 11/36#142% 15/3628% 10/36#336% 13/3619% 7/3628% 10/36#242% 15/3619% 7/3615% 4/26100% 3/3
CubsR#331% 11/3526% 9/3523% 8/3531% 11/35#137% 13/3529% 10/3520% 7/35#234% 12/3523% 6/2650% 3/6
RA20% 7/35#231% 11/35#137% 13/3529% 10/359% 3/3517% 6/3529% 10/3523% 8/35#330% 9/3050% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.