Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-05-1006:40Great American Ball Park

Mets

Away

6-7

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	1	0	0	1	2	2	0	6	7	0
Reds	1	2	0	1	3	0	0	0	X	7	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 50%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 15%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Reds defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Mets defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 65% · Season 59% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

56%

-0pp

7–9 Late

50%

-2pp

F5 first five

61%

+3pp

F9 full game

56%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 150Runs Allowed 160

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 144Runs Allowed 180

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	17% 6/35	31% 11/35	29% 10/35	31% 11/35	#134% 12/35	#332% 11/34	32% 11/34	15% 5/34	#233% 9/27	100% 1/1
Mets	RA	#140% 14/35	#234% 12/35	20% 7/35	14% 5/35	#334% 12/35	26% 9/34	21% 7/34	29% 10/34	16% 4/25	0% 0/1
Reds	R	29% 10/34	21% 7/34	#141% 14/34	26% 9/34	#232% 11/34	15% 5/34	21% 7/34	#332% 11/34	31% 8/26	100% 2/2
Reds	RA	#147% 16/34	32% 11/34	35% 12/34	#238% 13/34	29% 10/34	26% 9/34	26% 9/34	21% 7/34	#336% 9/25	50% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.